{"id":4473,"date":"2021-07-09T10:08:46","date_gmt":"2021-07-09T14:08:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/outbreaktools.ca\/?page_id=4473"},"modified":"2021-10-20T15:40:11","modified_gmt":"2021-10-20T19:40:11","slug":"proposal-for-declaring-the-outbreak-over-template","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/outbreaktools.ca\/fr\/tools\/proposal-for-declaring-the-outbreak-over-template\/","title":{"rendered":"Proposal for declaring the outbreak over template"},"content":{"rendered":"

Download alternative format<\/a>
\n(Word format, 4 pages, 159KB)<\/p>\n

[EVENT ID] Event title<\/strong><\/p>\n

Proposal for declaring the outbreak over <\/strong><\/p>\n

DATE<\/strong><\/p>\n

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PHAC-OMD proposes that the outbreak be declared over on [DATE]<\/span> based on the following rationale:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
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Criterion 1<\/strong>: The number of outbreak cases being reported to public health authorities has returned to baseline levels.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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The expected baseline incidence of cases based on surveillance data prior to the outbreak and as defined by the outbreak case definition is [N]<\/span>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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Criterion 2<\/strong>: The last time that individuals may have been exposed to the implicated source has been identified or estimated.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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The last time that individual(s) may have been exposed to the outbreak source is estimated using [LAST EXPOSURE ESTIMATE] <\/strong><\/span>(e.g. hazard removal (i.e. restaurant closure, food recall); illness onset; or return to baseline) is [DATE]<\/span>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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Criterion 3<\/strong>: Sufficient time has lapsed for potentially exposed individuals to become ill and be reported to investigating public health authorities.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

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The maximum incubation period of [PATHOGEN]<\/strong><\/span> infection is [X]<\/strong> <\/span>days and the [XXth<\/sup>]<\/strong><\/span> percentile in reporting delay observed in this outbreak is [Y]<\/strong><\/span> days.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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PHAC proposes to declare the outbreak over after the maximum incubation period ([X]<\/strong><\/span> days) and the [XXth<\/sup>]<\/strong><\/span> percentile in reporting delay ([Y]<\/strong><\/span> days) have elapsed since the last expected exposure on [DATE]<\/strong><\/span>. Therefore, if no additional cases are identified the outbreak would be declared over on [OVER DATE]<\/strong><\/span>.\u00a0\u00a0 <\/strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u00a0Definitions<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

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N<\/strong>: cases per period of time (e.g. month, year etc.)<\/p>\n

LAST EXPOSURE ESTIMATE<\/strong>: last exposure to the outbreak source estimated using date of hazard elimination, most recent illness onset, or return to baseline<\/p>\n

DATE<\/strong>: date of last exposure estimate<\/p>\n

X<\/strong>: maximum incubation period of the pathogen<\/p>\n

Y<\/strong>: XXth <\/sup>percentile reporting delay as observed in the outbreak<\/p>\n

OVER DATE<\/strong>: the date the outbreak is declared over based on the three criteria<\/p>\n

Older:<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

[Outbreak title]<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Proposal for deactivating the OICC and declaring the outbreak over<\/strong><\/p>\n

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The OICC will be deactivated and the outbreak declared over based on the following rationale:<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

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  1. Deactivating the OICC<\/u><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    [Lead agency]<\/span> proposes that the OICC be deactivated on [date]<\/span>. [Lead agency]<\/span> will continue to monitor the situation and if new information suggests that there is an on-going risk the proposed timelines will be reassessed and revised as needed. Should the situation warrant it, the OICC can be reopened following discussion with the OICC members.<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n

    The OICC deactivation is proposed for the following reasons:<\/p>\n

    [CONSIDER AND INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING, AS APPROPRIATE]<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n